She illustrates this with a famous example from Pete Carroll, the head coach of the Seattle Seahawks. In the final moments of Super Bowl XLIX, Carroll called for a pass play. It was intercepted. The Seahawks lost. Immediately, the media and fans declared it the "worst call in history."
Duke argues that this reaction was classic Resulting. The play call was statistically sound given the situation, the time remaining, and the Seahawks' goal-line passing efficiency. It was a good bet that didn't hit. If the receiver had caught it for a touchdown, Carroll would have been called a genius. The decision was the same; only the outcome differed. thinking in bets annie duke pdf
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Duke outlines several key principles of thinking in bets, including: She illustrates this with a famous example from